July 2024 Monthly Forecast

• Overview  

  In July, Russia will hold the presidency of the Security Council.   Read more

• The Military Staff Committee: Striving for Relevance in a Changing Era

  The Military Staff Committee (MSC) is the oldest subsidiary body of the Security Council, with its role explicitly mentioned in the UN Charter. It is to advise and assist the Security Council on all military requirements for maintaining international peace and security. However, for most of its life, the MSC has been dormant and unable to fulfill this responsibility. Read more

• Status Update since our June Forecast  

  This is the Status Update since our last Forecast. Read more

• Multilateral Cooperation in the Interest of a More Just, Democratic and Sustainable World Order

  In July, the Security Council will hold a ministerial-level open debate on “Multilateral cooperation in the interest of a more just, democratic and sustainable work order”. This is one of the signature events of the Russian presidency. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov is expected to chair the meeting. No briefers are anticipated. Read more

• The Middle East, including the Palestinian Question

  On 2 July, the Security Council expects to receive a briefing from Senior Humanitarian and Reconstruction Coordinator (SHRC) for Gaza, Sigrid Kaag. In July, the Security Council also expects to hold its quarterly open debate on “The situation in the Middle East, including the Palestinian question”. Special Coordinator for the Middle East Peace Process Tor Wennesland is the anticipated briefer. It appears that Russia, July’s Council president, has elected to hold the open debate at ministerial level. Council members may convene additional meetings during the month depending on developments. Read more

• Haiti

  In July, the Security Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Integrated Office in Haiti (BINUH) prior to its 15 July expiration.  In addition, the Council will receive its regular quarterly briefing from Special Representative and Head of the UN Integrated Office in Haiti (BINUH) María Isabel Salvador on recent political, security, and humanitarian developments in the country and on the Secretary-General’s latest report on BINUH.  Read more

• Democratic Republic of the Congo

  In July, the Security Council will hold a briefing and consultations on the situation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). The anticipated briefer is the Special Representative and Head of the UN Organization Stabilization Mission in the DRC (MONUSCO), Bintou Keita. Read more

• Cyprus

  In July, Security Council members are expected to receive a briefing in consultations on the situation in Cyprus. Special Representative and Head of the UN Peacekeeping Force in Cyprus (UNFICYP) Colin Stewart is expected to brief. Read more

• West Africa and the Sahel

  In July, the Security Council will hold its biannual briefing on West Africa and the Sahel. The Special Representative and head of the UN Office for West Africa and the Sahel (UNOWAS), Leonardo Santos Simão, is expected to brief. Read more

• Cooperation between the UN and Regional Organisations

  In July, the Council is expected to hold a meeting on the cooperation between the UN and regional organisations with a focus on the role of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).   Read more

• Syria

  In July, the Security Council will hold a meeting on the political process and the humanitarian situation in Syria.  Read more

• Yemen

  In July, the Security Council will hold its monthly briefing, followed by closed consultations, on Yemen. UN Special Envoy Hans Grundberg and a representative of OCHA are expected to brief during the public session. The Head of the UN Mission to Support the Hodeidah Agreement (UNMHA), Major General Michael Beary, is expected to brief during the consultations. The Council is also expected to renew the mandate of UNMHA, which expires on 14 July. Read more

• UNRCCA (Central Asia)

  In July, the Special Representative of the Secretary-General and Head of the UN Regional Centre for Preventive Diplomacy for Central Asia (UNRCCA), Kaha Imnadze, is expected to brief Security Council members on the UNRCCA’s work in closed consultations. Read more

• Lebanon

  In July, Council members expect to receive a briefing in consultations on the Secretary-General’s report on the implementation of resolution 1701. The Secretary-General’s report, which is due on 10 July, will cover the period from 21 February to 20 June. Special Coordinator for Lebanon Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert—whose appointment was announced on 20 May and who succeeds Joanna Wronecka—and Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Jean-Pierre Lacroix are the expected briefers. Read more

• Central African Republic

  In July, the Security Council is expected to vote to extend the sanctions imposed on the Central African Republic (CAR), which expire at the end of the month, and renew the mandate of the Panel of Experts supporting the 2127 CAR Sanctions Committee, which expires on 31 August. Read more