November 2021 Monthly Forecast

• Overview

  In November, Mexico will hold the presidency of the Security Council. Read more

• In Hindsight: When Does the Security Council use “Technical Rollovers”?

  The practice of extending a peace operation’s mandate—usually for a brief period—through a “technical rollover” has become fairly common. The term has not been used in Security Council decisions, however, and is rarely found in UN documents. Frequently, a technical rollover refers to an unaltered mandate that is extended by a concise resolution for a shorter period than is customary. Read more

• Status Update since our October Forecast

  Haiti On 4 October, the Security Council met to discuss the situation in Haiti (S/PV.8871). Special Representative and head of the UN Integrated Office in Haiti (BINUH) Helen La Lime briefed the Council, stating that the country was “undergoing one... Read more

• Sudan/South Sudan

  In November, the Council expects to renew the mandate of the UN Interim Security Force for Abyei (UNISFA). The Council is also expected to extend the mission’s support for the Joint Border Verification and Monitoring Mechanism (JBVMM), established in 2011 to conduct monitoring and verification activities along the Sudan-South Sudan border.   Read more

• Bosnia and Herzegovina

  In November, the Security Council will hold its semi-annual debate on Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH). The new High Representative for BiH, Christian Schmidt, is expected to brief on the latest report of the Office of the High Representative (OHR). The Council also expects to vote on the reauthorisation of the EU-led multinational stabilisation force (EUFOR ALTHEA) prior to its 5 November expiration. Read more

• Maintenance of International Peace and Security: Exclusion, Inequality and Conflict

  In November, the Security Council will hold a high-level open debate on “Maintaining international peace and security: exclusion, inequality and conflict”. One of the signature events of Mexico’s presidency Read more

• UN Peacekeeping

  In November, the Security Council will hold its annual briefing with the heads of police components of UN peace operations. The Mexican presidency intends to focus this annual briefing on women, peace and security (WPS) issues as part of the WPS presidency trio of Ireland, Kenya and Mexico in September, October and November, respectively. Under Secretary-General for Peace Operations Jean-Pierre Lacroix, UN Interim Security Force for Abyei (UNISFA) Police Commissioner Violet Lusala, and UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali (MINUSMA) Police Commissioner Patricia Boughani are expected to brief. Read more

• Yemen

  In October, the Security Council will hold its monthly briefing and consultations on Yemen. Special Envoy for Yemen Hans Grundberg and a representative from OCHA are likely to brief. Read more

• Somalia

  The Security Council will hold a briefing on the situation in the country, followed by closed consultations. James Swan, the Special Representative for Somalia and head of the UN Assistance Mission in Somalia (UNSOM), and Francisco Madeira, head of the AU Mission in Somalia (AMISOM), are the likely briefers. Read more

• Central African Republic

  In November, the Council is expected to renew the mandate of the UN Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in the Central African Republic (MINUSCA), which expires on 15 November. Read more

• Group of Five for the Sahel Joint Force

  In November, the Council is expected to hold its biannual briefing, followed by consultations, on the Joint Force of the Group of Five for the Sahel (FC-G5S), which Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania and Niger (G5 Sahel) established in 2017 to fight terrorist groups in the region and transnational organised crime. Read more

• Syria

  In November, the Security Council expects to hold its monthly meetings on the political and humanitarian situations and the use of chemical weapons in Syria. Read more

• Preventive Diplomacy

  In November, the Security Council is expected to hold an open debate on “Peace and security through preventive diplomacy: a common objective to all UN principal organs”. This is one of the signature events of Mexico’s November presidency. Briefings are expected from Abdulla Shahid, President of the General Assembly; Collen Vixen Kelapile, President of the Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC); Joan E. Donoghue, President of the International Court of Justice (ICJ); and Secretary-General António Guterres. A presidential statement is a possible outcome. Read more

• Afghanistan

  In November, the Security Council will receive a briefing on the situation in Afghanistan and the work of the UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA) from Deborah Lyons, the Special Representative and head of UNAMA. A civil society representative is also expected to brief the Council regarding the situation of women and girls in Afghanistan. The briefing will be followed by closed consultations. Read more

• Small Arms and Light Weapons

  In November, the Security Council will hold a ministerial-level open debate on Small Arms and Light Weapons (SALW). This is one of the signature events of Mexico’s November presidency. Read more

• Iraq

  In November, the Security Council is expected to receive a briefing from the Special Representative and head of the UN Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI), Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert, on the most recent developments in Iraq and the Secretary-General’s upcoming reports on UNAMI and the issue of missing Kuwaiti and third-party nationals and missing Kuwaiti property. A third report of the Secretary-General, on Iraq’s electoral process and UNAMI’s assistance to that process, is also due in November, and is likely to be discussed during the briefing. Read more

• Libya

  In November, the Security Council is expected to discuss Libya on two occasions. The Secretary-General’s Special Envoy on Libya and head of the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL), Ján Kubiš, is expected to brief the Council on recent developments regarding the country, and the chair of the 1970 Libya Sanctions Committee, Ambassador T.S. Tirumurti, the Permanent Representative of India, will brief on the activities of the sanctions committee. The Council will also receive the semi-annual briefing by ICC prosecutor Karim Khan concerning cases in Libya. This will be Khan’s first Council briefing on Libya after having succeeded Fatou Bensouda as ICC prosecutor on 16 June. Read more

• Lebanon

  In November, Council members expect to receive a briefing in consultations on the Secretary-General’s report on the implementation of resolution 1701. Read more

• DPRK (North Korea)

  In November, the Chair of the 1718 Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) Sanctions Committee, Ambassador Mona Juul (Norway), is expected to brief Council members in consultations on the 90-day report regarding the Committee’s work. Read more